The Private Equity for Families Blog

New Year Numerology

Mark Twain is credited with saying “History Does Not Repeat Itself, But It does Rhyme”.   So, as we enter year 2020, I looked for the last year in the United States history that repeated, and also the only other year in the Julian calendar which both repeats and also follows the first decade.

What I found about 1919, and also 1010, was quite interesting and supportive of Twain’s rhyming theory.

Research shows 1919, was near the end of the Progressive Era in the US where two constitutional amendments granted women the right to vote with the 18th Amendment and, almost simultaneously, launched prohibition with the 20th Amendment. Even more amazing is more than 2/3rds of the states ratified the amendments. There was a clear consensus about progressive issues.

There were also many other similarities and differences:

19192019
Home grown anarchists repeatedly send bombs to politiciansPoliticians bomb each other 
New stock market off highs, but no crash yet Stock market all time high 
19192020
Communist party formed in USA Socialist candidates thrive
Black Sox lose World Series on purpose Houston steals signs in 2017 World Series
Babe Ruth sold to Yankees for $125,000 Gerit Cole gets $340 million over 10 years
Teddy Roosevelt dies; Woodrow Wilson has a stroke Dems impeach Trump
Women get right to vote LGBTQ rights protected   
Ripleys “Believe It or Not” introduced as cartoon “Believe It or Not Journalism” is a cartoon
Nation starts prohibition Cannabis beer Is new
The Boston Molasses Disaster kills 21; warm winter California wildfires kill 9; drought
US deports Illegal Immigrants US deports Illegal Immigrants

The events for the 11th century are a little more eclectic:

1010  AD                                                            

  • The Nile River freezes over
  • Atlas of China Containing 1,556 chapters and written over 39 years is completed
  • Viking Explorer Karlsefni makes North American settlement
  • Caliphate of Cordoba is defeated
  • Beowulf is written anonymously
  • Lady Muraski writes The Tale of Genji (in Japanese)
  • Danish raiders pillage Canterbury; Archbishop taken prisoner; later killed/no ransom paid
  • King AEthelerd (The “Unready”) tries to buy out Viking Raiders for Danegeld (48,000 lbs of silver)
  • Pope Benedict VII succeeds Pope Sergius
  • Sulayman ibn al-Hakam reconquers the Caliphate of Cordoba
  • The Four Great Books of Song- the Song Dynasty Chinese Encyclopedia has 1000 volumes with 9.4 million Chinese characters
  • Kaifeng, capital of China, becomes largest city in the world replacing Cordoba.
  • Abu al-Qasim al Zahrawi writes a 30 part medical encyclopedia in Arabic

Going back has helped me to look forward. The middle eastern culture is still awaiting a successful caliphate. England still has leaders who are “Unready”. The USA is a temporary haven for capitalism, but the experiment is only 250 years old and shows signs of aging. China resumes a 3000 year upward trajectory interrupted by short pauses with communism as a political organization and socialism as a failed economic theory. The winter temperature in the Nile river is now 71 degrees.

With 2020 I have perfect insight- just what the numerologists predicted.

m

Recent PE4Fams Posts

Double Whammy of Deflation

Central banks consider deflation a “devil child” because of its pernicious psychology. Deflation encourages waiting for purchases until they get cheaper—which they do every day as demand is delayed.

Read this blog »

Rob McCreary

Rob McCreary has more than 40 years of transactional experience as an attorney, investment banker and private equity fund manager, and has spent his career in building entrepreneurial organizations with successful track records Founder and chairman of CapitalWorks, he is responsible for developing and maintaining senior relationships with investors and portfolio governance.

This blog represents the views of Rob McCreary and do not reflect those of CapitalWorks or its employees. This blog is not intended as investment advice. Any discussion of a specific security is for illustrative purposes only and should not be relied upon as indicative of such security’s current or future value. Readers should consult with their own financial advisors before making an investment decision.

Private Equity for Families Blog | CapitalWorks Private Equity Cleveland Ohio

Get Rob's Private Equity and Investing Insights in Your Inbox

See Private Equity Like Rob!

Get on the PE4Fams List

Get a brief email notice whenever Rob shares his insights on investing and the world in the PE4Fams blog (about once every three weeks). 

Share via
Copy link
Powered by Social Snap