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PE4FAMS Private Equity for Families Blog

The Private Equity for Families Blog

Insight for those who want to include private equity or direct investment in privately-held businesses in their portfolios. The opinions expressed in the PE4Fams blog are those of  Rob McCreary and not necessarily those of CapitalWorks or its employees.

Robert McCreary CapitalWorks private equity Cleveland

China Property Markets Are Teetering

If you think the real estate excesses in the US housing markets in 2008 leading to the Big Recession were epic, the possible carnage from defaults in the debt based China property market are historic. According to an article in “The Wall Street Journal” written by Quentin Webb and

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Feds Versus States – A Dash For Your Cash

There are two essential ingredients for the cake we call the American economy- Debt and Taxes. Throughout the country’s economic timeline we have seen the recipe wander from Colonial cooking where central debt and central taxes were not even in the mix to modern days where five cups of

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Ethereum Is Changing Its Security From Work To Wallet

Bitcoin gets all the attention because it is the rock on which all other cryptocurrencies are made possible. Supporters believe BTC will always have value because it is like collectible art. It has attracted intelligent investors who are willing to buy and hold a decentralized digital currency not backed

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Wage Inflation May Not Subside On Fed’s Timetable

In 1971 I was married while in college. I distinctly remember inflation in gasoline and food prices. I also remember wage and price controls because our landlord made us “rent to buy” furniture from his cousin as a way of increasing our rents. I have no recollection of what

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What Happened To Fear of Loss?

In the late 1960’s a large population cohort, the so called “Baby Boomers”, had an existential choice between fear of loss and the hypnotic call from Woodstock. Here is the first verse of Joni Mitchell’s epic song ” Woodstock” that captured the moment: I came upon a child of

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Stimulating Household Financial Responsibility

Just when you are about to give up on the American people’s ability to make sound financial decisions they surprise you. Conventional wisdom suggests when you win the lottery three times in a 12-month period you buy a car, a house, and a boat. That was what the economists

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The Economy Has Gone To The Dogs

I am sure all of you have noticed man’s best friend is one of the most popular trades during the Pandemic. My brother’s family now has four dogs. My sister has three. My daughters have multiple pets.  Research shows Gen Z and the Millennial cohorts are buying up pets

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Guess Who Wrote The “Meme Asset” Cookbook?

I am thrilled for the true believers in the Reddit crowd who have learned to manipulate the stock market. Their formula appears to be working well with notable successes like Hertz, GameStop and now AMC. In almost every case the cookbook recipe reads like this: Find an asset that

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Crypto’s Appeal – A New Financial Order

If you explore the history of money, you begin to understand why crypto currencies are beginning to compete with monopolistic monetary systems dominated by central banks. First Money Was Jack And the Beanstalk Model The first system was a “Jack and the Beanstalk” economy where a farmer could physically

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Fed Overshoot Inflating Cleveland and Detroit?

Although the recent inflation message from Chairman Jerome Powell in response to Congressional inquiries is heartening, it does not jive with some really lopsided conditions I am seeing that remind me of the 1970s. Here is what Chairman Powell said on March 23, 2021 as he and Treasury Secretary

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A League Of Their Own… Almost

My winter experience in Southwest Florida included watching the “BMFR” index redline at levels of conspicuous wealth not seen in my lifetime. For those of you who do not visit the Naples area, the BMFR index is the number of Bentley’s, Maserati’s, Ferraris and Rolls Royce’s you see on

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Post Pandemic Lifestyles And Our Hamster Wheel Society

As we emerge from our Covid-19 caves and rejoin business, commercial and personal worlds, I have begun to wonder what institutions, interactions, professions, entertainment and lifestyles will be altered in a material way. For most of my life I have been on a hamster wheel of expected behaviors like

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An Insider’s Tutorial On Programmatic Trading

I have a friend who has spent most of his career upgrading the plumbing on Wall Street.  He is not a pipe wrench plumber, but rather one of the architects of the programmatic trading platforms for some of the 40 providers of liquidity that comprise the US stock market.

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Decentralized Finance Products Are Like Climbing Everest

If you think trying to understand Bitcoin (BTC) and its blockchain is difficult, wait until you have your first encounter with decentralized banking or insurance products. It will seem as daunting and risky as climbing Everest without a sherpa. Because I am not qualified to guide in this emerging

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You May Miss The Middleman

My generation’s interaction with money, wealth, art, music, communication, commercial real estate, credit, finance, personal real estate, insurance and social interaction has mostly been through trusted third parties like Chase Bank, Goldman Sachs, Fidelity, Sotheby, National Title, Experian, Moody’s, Berkshire Hathaway, Depositary Trust Clearing Corp, ASCAP, Facebook, Apple and

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The Captain Crunch of All Squeezes

Someone’s investment gyroscope is completely out of whack. For most of my investment life I have tried to discover unseen gems among the trash heap of abandoned stocks. These might be stocks with good revenue growth, low debt, high cash flows, a defensible position relative to other competitors and

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Modern Monetary Misgivings

I wish I could join the throng of euphoric pundits who are now advocating Modern Monetary Theory (“MMT”). Most of them equate MMT with the ascendancy of central banks and their invincibility procuring worldwide prosperity even in the face of one of the swiftest business reversals in my lifetime.

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Bitcoin On The Front Page…Of Your Tax Return

Bitcoin looks like a juicy federal and state revenue source for 2020. Based on the chart shown from the buybitcoinworldwide.com website below, there has been approximately $304 billion of capital appreciation in the cryptocurrency since January 1, 2020. It is pretty much a guess about what portion of that

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Customizing Index Funds Like Playlists

“Tell Her No” was a classic rock hit from a British rock group The Zombies. The 1965 lyrics should be exhumed and applied to the runaway market appreciation in those public stocks where operating earnings do not even cover the annual interest expense: “And if she should tell you

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States Are Badly Bruised By Covid-19

For the last three months we have been so fixated on red and blue states we hardly noticed how many “black and blue” states are struggling from the pandemic’s onslaught. Unlike the Federal system where money printing of all kinds and deficit spending are accepted monetary policy tools, states

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This blog represents the views of Rob McCreary and do not reflect those of CapitalWorks or its employees. This blog is not intended as investment advice. Any discussion of a specific security is for illustrative purposes only and should not be relied upon as indicative of such security’s current or future value. Readers should consult with their own financial advisors before making an investment decision.